Aviation Safety Network 2018 numbers- the PRESS glass ½ full or 1/2 empty?

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[the cover glass picture comments are priceless and so appropriate for aviation’s engineers]

Aviation Safety Network releases 2018 airliner accident statistics

The Aviation Safety Network today released the 2018 airliner accident statistics showing a total of 15 fatal airliner accidents, resulting in 556 fatalities.

Despite several high-profile accidents, the year 2018 was one of the safest years ever for commercial aviation, Aviation Safety Network data show. Yet, last year was worse than the five-year average.

Over the year 2018, the Aviation Safety Network recorded a total of 15 fatal airliner accidents [1], resulting in 556 fatalities. This makes 2018 the third safest year ever by the number of fatal accidents and the ninth safest in terms of fatalities. The safest year in aviation history was 2017 with 10 accidents and 44 lives lost.
Looking at that five-year average of 14 accidents and 480 fatalities, last year was worse on both accounts.

Twelve accidents involved passenger flights, three were cargo flights. Three out of 15 accident airplanes were operated by airlines on the E.U. “blacklist”, up by two compared to 2017.

Given the estimated worldwide air traffic of about 37,800,000 flights, the accident rate is one fatal accident per 2,520,000 flights.
Reflecting on this accident rate, Aviation Safety Network’s CEO Harro Ranter stated that the level of safety has increased significantly: “If the accident rate had remained the same as ten years ago, there would have been 39 fatal accidents last year. At the accident rate of the year 2000, there would have been even 64 fatal accidents. This shows the enormous progress in terms of safety in the past two decades.”

Looking back at the past five years, one thing is clear: Loss of Control accidents are a major safety concern as this type of accident was responsible for at least ten of the 25 worst accidents. Most of those accidents were not survivable.

[1] Statistics are based on all worldwide fatal commercial aircraft accidents (passenger and cargo flights) involving civil aircraft of which the basic model has been certified for carrying 14 or more passengers.
Consequently, the April 11 accident involving an Algerian Air Force IL-76 transport plane that killed 257 is not included. When including military transport aircraft the total number fatalities would be 917 in 25 fatal accidents.

The Aviation Safety Network is an independent organisation located in the Netherlands. Founded in 1996. It has the aim to provide everyone with a (professional) interest in aviation with up-to-date, complete and reliable authoritative information on airliner accidents and safety issues. ASN is an exclusive service of the Flight Safety Foundation (FSF). The figures have been compiled using the airliner accident database of the Aviation Safety Network, the Internet leader in aviation safety information. The Aviation Safety Network uses information from authoritative and official sources.

Aviation Safety cannot be accurately represented by simple statistics and a high profile accident tends to distort the public’s perception.

The above ASN report is very careful in explaining the data disclosed. HOWEVER, the press reports on these data would appear to be a scatter gram if the authors “spin” on the story could be graphically displayed.

Below is a sampling of articles published in response to the ASN analysis:

Airliner Fatalities Increased by 900% in 2018

Sharp rise in air crash deaths in 2018 – BBC News

Airline safety: 2018 a sad year for plane crashes with sharp increase in fatal incidents

Aviation Safety Network reports increase in fatal air accidents

Deaths on Passenger Jet Aircraft Rise Across Globe in 2018

There Was a Stunning Increase in Airline Crashes and Deaths in 2018 (Including a First for Southwest)

Fatal air crashes and deaths up in 2018: watchdog

15 fatal airliner accidents occurred in 2018: Aviation Safety Network

2018: A Rough Year For Commercial Aviation (By Comparison)

Fatalities on commercial passenger aircraft rise in 2018

Plane crash deaths rise in 2018 but accidents are still rare

Rise in aviation accidents belies overall downward trend

2018 was one of the safest years ever for commercial aviation

Plane crash deaths rise in 2018 but accidents are still rare

More than 500 deaths recorded

2018 was one of the safest years ever for commercial aviation

Trump takes credit for airlines’ safety record (2017)






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